Middle East — Regional Conflict Risk

Geopolitical tensions, ongoing conflicts, and energy security risks across the Middle East region. Monitoring 17 countries with real-time risk assessments.

Regional Tension

14.8
high
→ Stable (11 events)

More than 40 killed as fighting rages near Yemen

Hotspots
🇾🇪Yemen3 events
🇸🇦Saudi Arabia1 events
🇵🇸Palestine1 events

Risk Distribution

critical1
high3
medium9
low3
minimal0

Middle East Countries by Risk Level

1🇾🇪
Yemen

Yemen faces critical internal conflict with ongoing high-intensity military operations severely impacting domestic stability.

critical
2🇮🇷
Iran

Iran faces critical internal conflict marked by ongoing military and drone incidents within its territory.

high
3🇸🇦
Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia faces ongoing medium-level internal conflict with critical border tensions due to cross-border attacks from Yemen.

high
4🇸🇾
Syria

Syria faces high internal conflict and border tensions with ongoing medium-level military operations within its territory.

high
5🇦🇫
Afghanistan

Limited military or security incidents were detected in Afghanistan. While the overall risk remains low, the nature of events warrants monitoring.

medium
6🇪🇬
Egypt

Egypt faces critical border tensions without internal conflict or elevated travel risk.

medium
7🇮🇶
Iraq

Iraq faces medium internal conflict risks with critical border tensions and medium travel risks.

medium
8🇮🇱
Israel

Israel faces medium internal conflict with ongoing missile strikes and low-level military activity within its territory.

medium
9🇯🇴
Jordan

Jordan faces critical border tensions without internal conflict but with medium travel and spillover risks.

medium
10🇰🇼
Kuwait

No direct events reported in Kuwait, but military or conflict activity has been detected in neighboring countries. Border and spillover risks are being monitored.

medium
11🇱🇧
Lebanon

Lebanon faces elevated border tensions due to Israeli military actions impacting its southern territory.

medium
12🇴🇲
Oman

Oman faces critical border tensions with medium travel risk but no internal conflict.

medium
13🇶🇦
Qatar

No direct events reported in Qatar, but military or conflict activity has been detected in neighboring countries. Border and spillover risks are being monitored.

medium
14🇧🇭
Bahrain

Bahrain maintains domestic stability with no internal conflict but faces high border tension.

low
15🇱🇾
Libya

No direct events reported in Libya, but military or conflict activity has been detected in neighboring countries. Border and spillover risks are being monitored.

low
16🇹🇷
Turkiye

Turkiye experiences low domestic risk with no internal conflict but faces high border tensions.

low

Middle East Security Overview

Geopolitical tensions, ongoing conflicts, and energy security risks across the Middle East region. WarMap monitors 17 countries across the Middle East region, providing real-time conflict risk assessments based on military events, political developments, and geopolitical tensions.

Currently, 1 countries in Middle East are at critical risk level, 3 at high risk, and 9 at medium risk. Explore individual country profiles for detailed intelligence reports, or compare military capabilities using our comparison tool.