Middle East — Regional Conflict Risk

Geopolitical tensions, ongoing conflicts, and energy security risks across the Middle East region. Monitoring 17 countries with real-time risk assessments.

Regional Tension

12
high
↑ Rising (9 events)

US launches 'defensive' strike on Iran after aircraft comes under fire, officials say

Hotspots
🇮🇷Iran3 events
🇾🇪Yemen1 events
🇾🇪Yemen1 events

Risk Distribution

critical0
high1
medium7
low6
minimal3

Middle East Countries by Risk Level

1🇸🇾
Syria

Syria faces high internal conflict risks driven by persistent instability without recent major escalations.

high
2🇦🇫
Afghanistan

Limited military or security incidents were detected in Afghanistan. While the overall risk remains low, the nature of events warrants monitoring.

medium
3🇮🇷
Iran

Iran faces high internal conflict marked by multiple US strikes and drone incidents on its territory.

medium
4🇮🇶
Iraq

Limited military or security incidents were detected in Iraq. While the overall risk remains low, the nature of events warrants monitoring.

medium
5🇮🇱
Israel

Limited military or security incidents were detected in Israel. While the overall risk remains low, the nature of events warrants monitoring.

medium
6🇴🇲
Oman

No direct events reported in Oman, but military or conflict activity has been detected in neighboring countries. Border and spillover risks are being monitored.

medium
7🇸🇦
Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia faces ongoing external military pressure with targeted attacks on its territory from Yemen.

medium
8🇾🇪
Yemen

Yemen faces high internal conflict with ongoing military operations and missile strikes within its territory.

medium
9🇪🇬
Egypt

No direct events reported in Egypt, but military or conflict activity has been detected in neighboring countries. Border and spillover risks are being monitored.

low
10🇯🇴
Jordan

Jordan experiences low domestic risk with no recent internal conflict and only moderate border tensions.

low
11🇰🇼
Kuwait

No direct events reported in Kuwait, but military or conflict activity has been detected in neighboring countries. Border and spillover risks are being monitored.

low
12🇱🇧
Lebanon

Lebanon experiences low domestic risk with no active internal conflict but faces medium border tension due to Israeli airstrikes.

low
13🇱🇾
Libya

Libya experiences medium internal conflict risks driven by ongoing structural challenges without recent escalation.

low
14🇹🇷
Turkiye

No direct events reported in Turkiye, but military or conflict activity has been detected in neighboring countries. Border and spillover risks are being monitored.

low
15🇧🇭
Bahrain

Bahrain experiences minimal domestic risk with no internal conflict or travel threats.

minimal
16🇶🇦
Qatar

No direct events reported in Qatar, but military or conflict activity has been detected in neighboring countries. Border and spillover risks are being monitored.

minimal
17🇦🇪
United Arab Emirates

The United Arab Emirates faces minimal domestic risk with no internal conflict or border tensions.

minimal

Middle East Security Overview

Geopolitical tensions, ongoing conflicts, and energy security risks across the Middle East region. WarMap monitors 17 countries across the Middle East region, providing real-time conflict risk assessments based on military events, political developments, and geopolitical tensions.

Currently, 0 countries in Middle East are at critical risk level, 1 at high risk, and 7 at medium risk. Explore individual country profiles for detailed intelligence reports, or compare military capabilities using our comparison tool.