Middle East — Regional Conflict Risk

Geopolitical tensions, ongoing conflicts, and energy security risks across the Middle East region. Monitoring 17 countries with real-time risk assessments.

Regional Tension

28.5
critical
↑ Rising (24 events)

🇱🇧🇮🇱 BREAKING! Ceasefire Lasted 5 Minutes — Israel Strikes Nabatieh Right After It Started

Hotspots
🇱🇧Lebanon10 events
🇮🇱Israel3 events
🇵🇸Palestine2 events

Risk Distribution

critical0
high2
medium2
low4
minimal8

Middle East Countries by Risk Level

1🇮🇱
Israel

Significant recent domestic attacks and border escalations have elevated Israel's domestic risk.

high
2🇱🇧
Lebanon

Significant recent Israeli military operations and drone attacks within Lebanon indicate elevated domestic and border security risks.

high
3🇦🇫
Afghanistan

Persistent low-level internal security challenges continue without recent significant escalation.

medium
4🇸🇾
Syria

Persistent low-level internal conflict risks exist in Syria without recent significant escalation.

medium
5🇮🇷
Iran

Some minor events were noted in Iran, but overall risk remains low. No significant threat to stability or safety has been identified.

low
6🇮🇶
Iraq

Persistent low-level security risks exist in Iraq without recent significant escalation.

low
7🇱🇾
Libya

No direct events reported in Libya, but military or conflict activity has been detected in neighboring countries. Border and spillover risks are being monitored.

low
8🇾🇪
Yemen

No direct events reported in Yemen, but military or conflict activity has been detected in neighboring countries. Border and spillover risks are being monitored.

low
9🇧🇭
Bahrain

No significant conflict-related events have been reported in Bahrain in the last 72 hours. Current conditions appear stable based on available intelligence.

minimal
10🇪🇬
Egypt

No significant conflict-related events have been reported in Egypt in the last 72 hours. Current conditions appear stable based on available intelligence.

minimal
11🇯🇴
Jordan

No significant conflict-related events have been reported in Jordan in the last 72 hours. Current conditions appear stable based on available intelligence.

minimal
12🇰🇼
Kuwait

Some minor events were noted in Kuwait, but overall risk remains low. No significant threat to stability or safety has been identified.

minimal
13🇴🇲
Oman

Some minor events were noted in Oman, but overall risk remains low. No significant threat to stability or safety has been identified.

minimal
14🇶🇦
Qatar

No significant conflict-related events have been reported in Qatar in the last 72 hours. Current conditions appear stable based on available intelligence.

minimal
15🇸🇦
Saudi Arabia

No significant conflict-related events have been reported in Saudi Arabia in the last 72 hours. Current conditions appear stable based on available intelligence.

minimal
16🇹🇷
Turkiye

No significant conflict-related events have been reported in Turkiye in the last 72 hours. Current conditions appear stable based on available intelligence.

minimal

Middle East Security Overview

Geopolitical tensions, ongoing conflicts, and energy security risks across the Middle East region. WarMap monitors 17 countries across the Middle East region, providing real-time conflict risk assessments based on military events, political developments, and geopolitical tensions.

Currently, 0 countries in Middle East are at critical risk level, 2 at high risk, and 2 at medium risk. Explore individual country profiles for detailed intelligence reports, or compare military capabilities using our comparison tool.